It's said that the definition of madness is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different outcome. Time and again I see managers who mistakenly believe that if they just push a little harder, a losing strategy will somehow become a winning one. They fail to understand that sometimes they need to tear up the playbook and try something different.
Malcolm Gladwell describes in this New Yorker article how underdogs can win when they challenge convention and rethink the rules. David's victory over Goliath, in the Biblical account, is held out to be an anomaly. It was not. Political scientist Ivan Arreguin-Toft recently analyzed every war fought in the past two hundred years between strong and weak combatants. Even though the Goliaths were at least ten times as powerful as the underdogs - in terms of armed might and population - the underdog won almost a third of the time. In the biblical story of David and Goliath, David initially prepares to fight a conventional battle with Goliath but quickly realizes he will lose if he plays by his opponents rules. Instead he picks up five smooth stones ... and the rest is history. When underdogs choose not to play by Goliath's rules, the odds of them winning doubles to over 60 per cent. David beat Goliath by substituting effort for ability. This turns out to be a winning strategy in all walks of life. Gladwell provides other examples of underdogs who challenged convention and though sheer effort went on to win despite huge disadvantages. He describes how Lawrence of Arabia led a small band of untrained Bedouin fighters through the desert to capture twelve hundred Turks, losing only two men. He also describes how a scrappy underdog basketball team beat stronger rivals using an unconventional strategy of playing a non-stop full-court press. It is generally believed that skill is the the precious resource and effort is the commodity. It's actually the other way round and effort can trump ability.
Many organizations are constrained by strategic dogma and a lack of creative thinking. They become inflexible and view strategy as something that must be followed exactly, rather than a framework to help understand their situation and guide their thinking. Business schools reinforce the notion that managers will be successful if they can just learn all of the predetermined plays in the strategy playbook. And when a strategy proves to be unsuccessful, managers frequently double-down rather than rethinking their approach.
The best approach is to ignore conventional wisdom and return to first principles, considering each situation on its own merits. Remember, the rules are usually defined by Goliath and when the world plays on Goliath's terms, Goliath wins. When underdogs choose not to play on Goliath's rules, they can win.